So far the picks are a pedestrian 24-23-1 for the tourney. While we had a nice first round going 18-13-1, the second round was actually quite awful. But on we march to the Sweet 16 and I really like the card and especially Kansas St. One trend I am looking at here with these games is unders. When good teams play each other and they play in a new building for the first time I think it takes a while to adjust to the rims and the new surroundings. I would also lean on the first half unders, but I won’t include those as regular plays.
Kentucky is extremely overrated after beating powerhouse Davidson by 5 and Davidson had every chance to win that game. Buffalo loves to run and they thought they could run with a bunch of future NBA dudes and that played right into the hands of Kentucky. That was just a really bad matchup for the Bulls. Kentucky was favored over 12-seed Davidson by 4.5 and then 13-seed Buffalo by 5.5 and now they play 9-seed Kansas St who is getting their best player back and the line opened up at 6? Tonight I see K St slowing down the game and making it a halfcourt battle. I am a little worried about the rebounding as Kentucky ranks 35th in rebounding percentage compared to 289th for Kansas St., but I think the halfcourt defense of K St keeps this close and I wouldn’t be shocked if they pull the upset.
We have 10 plays for the Sweet 16 games and the 2 best for me are Kansas St and WV Under.
Thursday, March 22
Nevada vs. Loyola-Chicago Under 144
Michigan -2.5 vs. Texas A&M
Kansas St +5 vs Kentucky
Gonzaga vs. Florida St Under 153.5
Friday, March 23
Kansas -5 vs. Clemson
West Virginia +5 vs. Villanova, Under 152.5
Duke -11.5 vs. Syracuse
Texas Tech +1.5 vs. Purdue, Under 137.5