We had another winning week last week as the picks went 7-3 to bring us to 56% on the year!
Toledo +7 – Thursday
Yes, Toledo is not as good as they have been but getting 7 points from W Michigan is too many in this one. Their home loss last week to Buffalo was very misleading as the Rockets led 17-10 before surrendering 21 unanswered points. They averaged 5.5 yards per play to 4.4 for Buffalo and were 1/12 on third downs. This ML deserves a little sprinkle too.
Ga Southern +10 – Thursday
The loss of RB Jalin Moore is really going to hurt App St the rest of the year and especially tonight. App St has a great defense but I still think Ga Southern will be able to run on them. This feels like a much closer game than 10 points.
La Tech/FAU Over 58 – Friday
Both teams love to score and there won’t be a lot of defense in this one. This total should be closer to 70.
Florida State +17
We are getting to the time of year where I like to start buying first-year head coaches. Usually, the first half of the season there can be an adjustment period and then around Halloween is when I will start to buy in. Sure enough, we have seen that with Nebraska, UCLA and FSU. They all started out rough but now are all rounding into form to a point where I like to play on them. The talent on FSU will keep this under 2 TD’s.
I can’t remember in my life a worse 7-0 team. USF has squeaked out wins against bad teams in Tulsa, ECU, Uconn, and Illinois and was outgained by over 175 yards at home vs Georgia Tech. They are a complete fraud and will get beat down by one of the best young offensive minds in the game in Kendal Briles. This will get ugly.
Missouri -6.5 & Over 55
The most overrated team in the country is going to get exposed against a much better Missouri team. Missouri is 0-3 in SEC play and really needs this win. The Tigers run defense is underrated and if Kentucky can’t run the ball they are in big trouble.
When Cal doesn’t turn the ball over they are actually a pretty good team. Unfortunately for them, they have turned it over a lot this year. I am betting on them taking care of the ball and keeping this one close
Iowa St -3.5
I really like this Iowa St team and especially Matt Campbell. Too bad he will probably be leaving soon for a bigger job. The defense is stout and the just don’t seem to give up big plays. They will hold the Tech offense in check and win comfortably.
Texas A&M +2
The A&M run defense is stout as the held Kentucky to 70 rushing yards on 2.3 yards per carry and Miss St is a running team. The wrong team is favored here.