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College Football Picks Week 5

The official picks are on a tear these last 2 weeks going 19-10 as last week we saw another winning week going 9-6.  The extra picks also won going 3-2.  We have 12 more for this week so let’s get to the winners…

Army +7

This line went up as high as 9.5 midweek before coming back and I just don’t understand it.  When the talent is pretty even I love taking Army as a small dog.

Kent St +7

I have been impressed watching Kent St, even in defeats to big-time programs.  The new up-tempo will finally be able to shine in a matchup versus similar talent and I wouldn’t be surprised to see them pull the upset.

Pittsburgh +14

I was waiting on this line to come out and really hoping to get close to 2 TDs.  Pitt has a better defense and I think they will be able to somewhat slow down UCF and keep this one close.

South Alabama +24

This line is way too high as the Jaguars will keep this close and lose by probably 14-17 points.

Nevada +8

Air Force is improved and can be tough to play but I think they could be looking a little bit ahead with Navy on deck.  While Nevada has an awful defense they will be able to score and the game last week was closer than the final score as they lost at Toledo.

Northern Illinois +3

Northern Illinois has played just a brutal schedule with big power opponents in Iowa and Utah.  Some say they might be beaten up but I think that has prepared them well as they go up against a good Eastern Michigan. EMU could also be in for a letdown after 3 straight games on the road that included cross-country travel.

Wyoming +17

Wow has Wyoming looked bad after an opening game win at Las Cruces.  I think a bye week will really be good for the Pokes.  Craig Bohls Cowboys have fared well in recent years covering the last 2 including almost beating Boise St 2 years ago here in Laramie.

Stanford/Notre Dame Under 54

I have not been impressed with the Stanford defense this year and this Notre Dame offense looks completely different with Ian Book as the QB.  I also think there is a fatigue factor in play here with Stanford so points should be plenty.

BYU +17.5

The BYU rush defense looked stout against Wisconsin and I expect a similar effort in Washington where Jake Browning will be forced to win the game.  I’ll bet against Browning in that scenario in a close game that Washington wins.

USC -3

The USC defensive line will dominate a bad Arizona offensive line and a hobbled Kalil Tate will be under pressure all night.  USC wins comfortably.

California +3

This is such a great spot for Cal getting Oregon off an incredibly disappointing loss.  Cal is off a bye and has been preparing for this Oregon offense for 2 weeks.  The Golden Bears actually play some defense now and will hold Oregon in check.

Georgis Southern +3

I am very bullish on Ga Southern this year as they are back to being the run-oriented team that has had success and I think they will win the Sun Belt this year.  Arkansas St is not good against the run so this is a case where the weakness of one team is running into the strength of another team and that is just what you look for. Arky St has given up rushing yards per play averages of 4.3, 4.0 and 6.3 if we exclude the Alabama game and Ga Southern is averaging 5.9 and 5.7 rushing yards per play with the exception of the Clemson game.

A Few More I Like…

Oklahoma St -17

Nebraska +3

Marshall -3.5

South Carolina -1.5

Baylor +24

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